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US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz

Near certain

$1.6M traded

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%Yes · +50 pts over period100%

What this means

Traders currently price this at 100% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward yes, though it's far from settled. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.

How this resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaime Faria and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Jaime Faria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution sour…

Resolves: Sep 9, 2026Source of truth: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

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