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The questions drawing the most money right now — ranked by trailing-24-hour trading volume. When attention spikes, it usually means something is about to happen.
Odds as of Aug 21, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Sports
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs
First Blood in Game 2?
99%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)
69%
Ends in Daytime
50%
18 outcomes$6.8M vol
Sports
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
Game 2 Winner
100%
O/U 2.5 Games
100%
Odd/Even Total Kills
100%
23 outcomes$3.9M vol
Sports+50 pts
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Game 1 Winner
100%
O/U 2.5 Games
100%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
100%
24 outcomes$2.8M vol
Crypto+59 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
↑ 80,000
60%
↑ 82,500
35%
↓ 70,000
23%
17 outcomes$14.5M vol
Economy-2 pts
Fed Decision in September?
No change
71%
25 bps increase
28%
25 bps decrease
1%
5 outcomes$42.6M vol
Geopolitics-39 pts
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
10%
Any Player Quadra Kill
10%
Any Player Penta Kill
10%
5 outcomes$2.3M vol
Geopolitics+2 pts
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31
25%
October 31
14%
August 31
5%
3 outcomes$5.8M vol
Culture+43 pts
Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
240-259
52%
260-279
44%
280-299
4%
14 outcomes$5.2M vol
Crypto+50 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 80,000
81%
↑ 85,000
63%
↑ 90,000
47%
24 outcomes$56.4M vol
Sports
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
First Blood in Game 1?
100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
71%
Game 1 Winner
69%
24 outcomes$1.3M vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on August 21?
52,000
100%
54,000
100%
56,000
100%
11 outcomes$1.7M vol
Sports
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
99%
Map 1 Winner
68%
19 outcomes$1.0M vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit in August?
↓ 2,300
71%
↑ 2,500
54%
↓ 2,200
39%
21 outcomes$4.4M vol
Politics+1 pt
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed
97%
Gedion Timothewos
1%
Adanech Abiebie
1%
8 outcomes$283.8M vol
Politics-3 pts
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Marco Rubio
12%
24 outcomes$690.6M vol
Politics+2 pts
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
33%
Édouard Philippe
26%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
14%
24 outcomes$120.8M vol
Crypto
What price will XRP hit in August?
↓ 1.20
36%
↑ 1.60
22%
↑ 1.80
8%
14 outcomes$1.4M vol
Politics-4 pts
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
Gavin Newsom
15%
Jon Ossoff
14%
24 outcomes$1.3B vol
Sports+7 pts
EPL: 2027 Champion
Arsenal
47%
Manchester City
21%
Liverpool
13%
20 outcomes$7.3M vol
Sports-16 pts
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Jannik Sinner
36%
Carlos Alcaraz
26%
Alexander Zverev
11%
22 outcomes$8.6M vol
Sports+3 pts
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Barcelona
18%
Paris Saint-Germain
14%
Arsenal
14%
24 outcomes$12.0M vol
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
64%
Flávio Bolsonaro
33%
Renan Santos
4%
18 outcomes$130.0M vol
Politics+30 pts
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
↑ $90
60%
↑ $95
26%
↑ $100
9%
19 outcomes$8.4M vol
Geopolitics-12 pts
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 31
66%
October 31
42%
September 30
25%
8 outcomes$18.0M vol
Sports+26 pts
FC Tōkyō vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba - More Markets
FC Tōkyō O/U 0.5
76%
O/U 0.5
65%
JEF United Ichihara Chiba O/U 0.5
59%
24 outcomes$433K vol
Sports
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffs
100%
Near certain$439K vol
Geopolitics+2 pts
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
72%
New People (NL)
22%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
6%
8 outcomes$21.3M vol
Sports
NBA: 2027 Champion
Oklahoma City Thunder
22%
San Antonio Spurs
21%
Philadelphia 76ers
13%
24 outcomes$18.5M vol
Sports
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5)
51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
49%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
48%
11 outcomes$390K vol
Sports-3 pts
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC
Arsenal FC
82%
Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC)
13%
Coventry City FC
6%
3 outcomes$493K vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?
↓ 60,000
1%
↓ 50,000
0%
↓ 62,000
0%
7 outcomes$1.4M vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
280-299
18%
300-319
17%
320-339
14%
17 outcomes$1.5M vol
Sports+1 pt
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Los Angeles Rams
14%
Buffalo Bills
9%
Seattle Seahawks
9%
24 outcomes$45.8M vol
Geopolitics-11 pts
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31
8%
November 30
6%
October 31
4%
5 outcomes$16.0M vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on August 22?
52,000
100%
54,000
100%
56,000
100%
11 outcomes$396K vol
Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on August 21?
1,400
100%
1,500
100%
1,600
100%
11 outcomes$496K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?
99%
Near certain$243K vol
Climate
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 21?
27°C
97%
28°C
3%
23°C or below
0%
11 outcomes$238K vol
Crypto+48 pts
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↑ 2,500
87%
↑ 2,750
65%
↑ 3,000
48%
22 outcomes$11.2M vol
Climate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
31°C
100%
24°C or below
0%
25°C
0%
11 outcomes$244K vol
Geopolitics+3 pts
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
56%
Benjamin Netanyahu
28%
Naftali Bennett
6%
18 outcomes$32.8M vol
Geopolitics+2 pts
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Rodri
9%
24 outcomes$29.9M vol
Sports+25 pts
The International 2026: Winner
TEAM VISION
54%
Team Yandex
16%
Team Spirit
14%
7 outcomes$2.0M vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
65-89
46%
40-64
25%
90-114
18%
10 outcomes$263K vol
Tech & AI+3 pts
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Anthropic
98%
OpenAI
2%
Meta
0%
21 outcomes$2.3M vol
Politics+1 pt
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
47%
Marco Rubio
21%
Ron DeSantis
3%
24 outcomes$689.4M vol
Crypto+34 pts
What price will Solana hit in August?
↑ 100
35%
↓ 80
24%
↑ 110
10%
15 outcomes$649K vol
Science-1 pt
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
4%
September 30
2%
2 outcomes$65.2M vol
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