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The questions drawing the most money right now — ranked by trailing-24-hour trading volume. When attention spikes, it usually means something is about to happen.
Odds as of Oct 5, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Politics+26 pts
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
84%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
16%
2 outcomes$172.4M vol
Sports
Dolphins vs. Vikings
50%
Toss-up$4.5M vol
Sports
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)
51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)
50%
15 outcomes$2.5M vol
Sports
Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Map 2 Winner
99%
O/U 2.5 Games
96%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)
75%
15 outcomes$2.4M vol
Sports+46 pts
Falcons vs. Saints
O/U 24.5
97%
2Q O/U 5.5
96%
O/U 26.5
95%
24 outcomes$1.9M vol
Crypto+31 pts
Bitcoin above ___ on October 5?
74,000
100%
76,000
100%
78,000
100%
11 outcomes$1.6M vol
Geopolitics+48 pts
Fed Decision in October?
No change
79%
25 bps increase
22%
25 bps decrease
0%
5 outcomes$26.1M vol
Sports
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun
100%
Completed Match
100%
China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun Set 2 Winner
100%
12 outcomes$785K vol
Politics+3 pts
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
42%
Édouard Philippe
19%
David Lisnard
13%
24 outcomes$144.5M vol
Geopolitics+5 pts
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
66%
R Senate, D House
27%
Republicans Sweep
8%
5 outcomes$18.1M vol
Geopolitics-3 pts
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
48%
Benjamin Netanyahu
36%
Naftali Bennett
11%
19 outcomes$43.2M vol
Sports-1 pt
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Buffalo Bills
13%
Los Angeles Rams
13%
San Francisco 49ers
10%
24 outcomes$63.5M vol
Geopolitics+4 pts
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
47%
Lamine Yamal
45%
Kylian Mbappé
2%
19 outcomes$44.4M vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
↓ 85,000
97%
↑ 87,500
77%
↓ 82,500
71%
20 outcomes$2.7M vol
Sports-2 pts
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Barcelona
22%
Bayern Munich
14%
Arsenal
14%
24 outcomes$45.6M vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 3 - October 5, 2026?
65-89
100%
90-114
0%
115-139
0%
8 outcomes$752K vol
Politics-1 pt
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Jon Ossoff
15%
24 outcomes$1.3B vol
Geopolitics-6 pts
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31
71%
December 31
51%
November 30
35%
5 outcomes$35.9M vol
Politics-1 pt
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
14%
Jon Ossoff
11%
24 outcomes$713.0M vol
Politics
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
2 outcomes$13.8M vol
Geopolitics+1 pt
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
16%
Unlikely$71.9M vol
Cryptoflat
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↑ 3,000
67%
↑ 3,500
33%
↓ 2,250
24%
22 outcomes$17.2M vol
Sports+41 pts
Italy vs. Türkiye - More Markets
O/U 0.5
96%
Italy O/U 0.5
92%
O/U 1.5
85%
24 outcomes$304K vol
Cryptoflat
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
5%
Very unlikely$23.8M vol
Sports
Dota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
O/U 2.5 Games
90%
Game 2 Winner
85%
Ends in Daytime
50%
23 outcomes$285K vol
Geopolitics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 5
99%
October 7
97%
October 9
94%
9 outcomes$6.2M vol
Culture+34 pts
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
240-259
46%
220-239
45%
260-279
7%
16 outcomes$1.4M vol
Crypto+8 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 90,000
77%
↑ 95,000
56%
↑ 100,000
36%
24 outcomes$73.0M vol
Scienceflat
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31
3%
October 31
1%
2 outcomes$71.7M vol
Geopolitics-2 pts
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31
17%
October 31
6%
September 30
0%
3 outcomes$16.4M vol
Politics-1 pt
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
50%
Marco Rubio
15%
Tucker Carlson
3%
24 outcomes$709.7M vol
Sports+19 pts
Italy vs. Türkiye
Italy
71%
Draw (Italy vs. Türkiye)
19%
Türkiye
12%
3 outcomes$251K vol
Sports
Jazz vs. Nuggets
50%
Toss-up$232K vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?
↓ 84,000
74%
↑ 88,000
44%
↓ 82,000
37%
14 outcomes$198K vol
Geopolitics-5 pts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
19%
Unlikely$14.2M vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6?
74,000
100%
76,000
100%
78,000
100%
11 outcomes$336K vol
Crypto+8 pts
Ethereum above ___ on October 5?
2,200
100%
2,300
100%
2,400
100%
11 outcomes$283K vol
Sports+2 pts
NBA: 2027 Champion
San Antonio Spurs
23%
Oklahoma City Thunder
19%
New York Knicks
13%
24 outcomes$23.5M vol
Tech & AI+1 pt
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029
22%
December 31, 2028
19%
December 31, 2027
10%
3 outcomes$1.6M vol
Sports-1 pt
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers
28%
Milwaukee Brewers
24%
Tampa Bay Rays
14%
8 outcomes$43.3M vol
Politics+6 pts
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru Nazare
33%
Sorin Grindeanu
22%
Luca Niculescu
14%
24 outcomes$4.6M vol
Politics+3 pts
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
34%
2 outcomes$5.8M vol
Politics
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $85
67%
↑ $95
64%
↓ $80
38%
19 outcomes$739K vol
Geopolitics-1 pt
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027
11%
December 31, 2026
3%
2 outcomes$27.3M vol
Geopolitics
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
November 30
74%
November 15
64%
October 31
53%
4 outcomes$2.4M vol
Politics-8 pts
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
71%
Pedro Sánchez
28%
Santiago Abascal
2%
16 outcomes$433K vol
Geopolitics
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 31
85%
November 30
72%
December 31
63%
3 outcomes$32.7M vol
Geopolitics-2 pts
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
14%
Mykola Kuleba
10%
Save the Children
7%
24 outcomes$26.1M vol
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