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The questions drawing the most money right now — ranked by trailing-24-hour trading volume. When attention spikes, it usually means something is about to happen.
Odds as of Oct 9, 2026 · sourced from Polymarket
Culture+28 pts
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
340-359
28%
360-379
23%
320-339
18%
11 outcomes$5.3M vol
Politics+25 pts
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
86%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
14%
2 outcomes$178.0M vol
Geopolitics+10 pts
Fed Decision in October?
No change
85%
25 bps increase
16%
25 bps decrease
0%
5 outcomes$30.6M vol
Sports+47 pts
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys
Cowboys O/U 10.5
97%
O/U 24.5
97%
O/U 26.5
96%
24 outcomes$2.2M vol
Geopolitics+39 pts
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia Navalnaya
44%
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
9%
World Central Kitchen
8%
24 outcomes$28.4M vol
Sports-1 pt
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Barcelona
23%
Bayern Munich
14%
Arsenal
14%
24 outcomes$48.3M vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
↑ 82,500
90%
↓ 80,000
78%
↑ 85,000
65%
20 outcomes$4.6M vol
Politics-2 pts
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
41%
Édouard Philippe
22%
David Lisnard
13%
24 outcomes$147.5M vol
Geopolitics-3 pts
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31
69%
December 31
49%
November 30
36%
5 outcomes$38.2M vol
Crypto-13 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 90,000
59%
↓ 70,000
40%
↑ 95,000
40%
24 outcomes$74.2M vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
500+
17%
380-399
10%
400-419
10%
16 outcomes$1.5M vol
Sports
LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs
Game 1 Winner
100%
Game 2 Winner
100%
Game 3 Winner
100%
24 outcomes$786K vol
Sports+42 pts
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State
O/U 37.5
94%
South Alabama O/U 20.5
92%
O/U 43.5
89%
24 outcomes$709K vol
Geopolitics
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 9
98%
October 12
94%
October 15
93%
7 outcomes$7.6M vol
Geopolitics-1 pt
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep
63%
R Senate, D House
28%
Republicans Sweep
9%
5 outcomes$20.6M vol
Sports
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
50%
Toss-up$651K vol
Sports+12 pts
Utah vs. Bruins
Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5
92%
Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
79%
Spread -1.5
74%
9 outcomes$608K vol
Politics+1 pt
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
Gavin Newsom
18%
Jon Ossoff
15%
24 outcomes$1.3B vol
Geopolitics+18 pts
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane
54%
Lamine Yamal
39%
Lionel Messi
3%
19 outcomes$46.3M vol
Politics-2 pts
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
10%
2 outcomes$15.3M vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?
↑ 82,000
71%
↓ 80,000
40%
↑ 84,000
31%
16 outcomes$944K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 9?
76,000
100%
78,000
98%
80,000
91%
11 outcomes$613K vol
Sports+43 pts
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky
O/U 35.5
89%
O/U 37.5
78%
O/U 43.5
77%
24 outcomes$371K vol
Tech & AI-20 pts
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
28%
December 31, 2027
11%
June 30, 2027
9%
4 outcomes$3.2M vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 8?
↓ 80,000
4%
↑ 84,000
2%
↓ 79,000
1%
13 outcomes$339K vol
Geopolitics-4 pts
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
44%
Benjamin Netanyahu
37%
Naftali Bennett
10%
19 outcomes$44.5M vol
Geopolitics+2 pts
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
Unlikely$72.9M vol
Sports+30 pts
South Florida vs. UTSA
O/U 37.5
83%
O/U 35.5
82%
O/U 39.5
79%
24 outcomes$318K vol
Sports
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5
78%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5
67%
Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5
66%
24 outcomes$299K vol
Sports
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
1H O/U 109.5
98%
O/U 219.5
73%
O/U 221.5
72%
19 outcomes$292K vol
Sports+22 pts
Santos FC vs. CR Flamengo - More Markets
O/U 1.5
100%
1st Half O/U 0.5
100%
1st Half O/U 1.5
100%
24 outcomes$277K vol
Politics+2 pts
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)
64%
Ken Paxton (R)
37%
2 outcomes$2.7M vol
Geopolitics
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 9
99%
October 15
95%
October 31
82%
6 outcomes$33.2M vol
Geopolitics+20 pts
MLB: 2026 National League Champion
Los Angeles Dodgers
62%
Milwaukee Brewers
39%
2 outcomes$4.3M vol
Politics
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $90
92%
↑ $95
63%
↓ $85
60%
20 outcomes$1.3M vol
Sports+20 pts
ESL Pro League Season 24: Winner
Vitality
44%
Spirit
19%
Falcons
14%
8 outcomes$558K vol
Politics-2 pts
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
49%
Marco Rubio
15%
Tucker Carlson
3%
24 outcomes$710.4M vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit in October?
↑ 2,500
81%
↓ 2,400
77%
↑ 2,600
63%
20 outcomes$1.2M vol
Sports+1 pt
NBA: 2027 Champion
San Antonio Spurs
23%
Oklahoma City Thunder
19%
New York Knicks
13%
24 outcomes$24.0M vol
Sports+14 pts
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers
44%
Tampa Bay Rays
24%
Milwaukee Brewers
24%
5 outcomes$43.8M vol
Politics+2 pts
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
81%
Pedro Sánchez
18%
Santiago Abascal
1%
16 outcomes$1.4M vol
Climate+12 pts
Canucks vs. Hurricanes
Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5
93%
Spread -1.5
93%
Spread -2.5
84%
11 outcomes$218K vol
Politics-1 pt
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13%
Jon Ossoff
10%
24 outcomes$714.5M vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?
115-139
22%
140-164
21%
90-114
16%
9 outcomes$212K vol
Geopolitics-2 pts
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
19%
Unlikely$14.4M vol
Politics
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
63%
Republican Party
36%
2 outcomes$6.1M vol
Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on October 9?
2,200
100%
2,300
99%
2,400
92%
11 outcomes$269K vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
220-239
11%
260-279
10%
240-259
10%
24 outcomes$346K vol
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