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Putin out as President of Russia by...?

5 outcomes · ranked

$16.2M traded
June 30, 2027
17%
December 31, 2026
10%
September 30, 2026
4%
August 31, 2026
3%
July 31, 2026
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
25%June 30, 2027 · -7 pts over period17%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is June 30, 2027 at 17%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jun 30, 2027

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