Venezuela leader end of 2026?
16 outcomes · ranked
$98.1M tradedProbability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 16 outcomes, the market's favourite is Nicolás Maduro at 71%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to th…