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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

19 outcomes · ranked

$43.2M traded
Gadi Eizenkot
48%
Benjamin Netanyahu
36%
Naftali Bennett
11%
Avigdor Lieberman
2%
Ofer Winter
1%
Itamar Ben Gvir
0%
Yair Lapid
0%
Yossi Cohen
0%
Yair Golan
0%
Yoaz Hendel
0%
Benny Gantz
0%
Gideon Sa’ar
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%Gadi Eizenkot · -2 pts over period48%

What this means

Across 19 outcomes, the market's favourite is Gadi Eizenkot at 48%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Oct 28, 2026

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