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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

18 outcomes · ranked

$32.8M traded
Gadi Eizenkot
57%
Benjamin Netanyahu
28%
Naftali Bennett
6%
Avigdor Lieberman
4%
Itamar Ben Gvir
1%
Yair Golan
0%
Moshe Feiglin
0%
Yariv Levin
0%
Amir Ohana
0%
Yair Lapid
0%
Benny Gantz
0%
Yossi Cohen
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
51%Gadi Eizenkot · +6 pts over period57%

What this means

Across 18 outcomes, the market's favourite is Gadi Eizenkot at 57%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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