Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
12 outcomes · ranked
$6.5M tradedProbability over time
Price history isn't available for this market yet. The current probability is 51%, as of Oct 6, 2026.
What this means
Across 12 outcomes, the market's favourite is Anthropic at 51%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollar…