Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
24 outcomes · ranked
$669.1M tradedJ.D. Vance
40%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tucker Carlson
4%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Ted Cruz
1%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is J.D. Vance at 40%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolves: Nov 7, 2028
More in Politics
Politicsflat
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Jon Ossoff
10%
24 outcomes$1.2B vol
Politics+1 pt
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
20%
Marco Rubio
16%
Gavin Newsom
12%
24 outcomes$646.6M vol
Politics+1 pt
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Abiy Ahmed
98%
Berhanu Nega
1%
Demeke Mekonnen
0%
8 outcomes$144.8M vol