Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
24 outcomes · ranked
$709.7M tradedJ.D. Vance
50%
Marco Rubio
15%
Tucker Carlson
3%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Ted Cruz
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
Tom Cotton
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
0%
Glenn Youngkin
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is J.D. Vance at 50%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolves: Nov 8, 2028
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