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PoliticsEthiopiaElectionsMain Election

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

8 outcomes · ranked

$150.9M traded
Abiy Ahmed
98%
Belete Molla
1%
Berhanu Nega
1%
Demeke Mekonnen
0%
Shimelis Abdisa
0%
Adanech Abiebie
0%
Gedion Timothewos
0%
Alesa Mengesha
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
96%Abiy Ahmed · +2 pts over period98%

What this means

Across 8 outcomes, the market's favourite is Abiy Ahmed at 98%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Closed Jun 1, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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