Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
24 outcomes · ranked
$1.2B tradedGavin Newsom
19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
14%
Jon Ossoff
12%
Kamala Harris
7%
Josh Shapiro
5%
Pete Buttigieg
4%
Andy Beshear
2%
Jon Stewart
2%
Rahm Emanuel
2%
Ro Khanna
2%
Wes Moore
1%
James Talarico
1%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is Gavin Newsom at 19%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolves: Nov 7, 2028
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