Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
24 outcomes · ranked
$1.3B tradedAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18%
Gavin Newsom
16%
Jon Ossoff
15%
Kamala Harris
7%
Josh Shapiro
6%
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Andy Beshear
3%
James Talarico
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Wes Moore
2%
Rahm Emanuel
2%
Ro Khanna
2%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 18%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolves: Nov 8, 2028
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