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Taipei Mayor Election Winner

3 outcomes · ranked

$253K traded
Chiang Wan-an
81%
Puma Shen
19%
Kuo Hsi
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
92%Chiang Wan-an · -11 pts over period80%

What this means

Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is Chiang Wan-an at 81%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Resolves: Nov 29, 2026

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