St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 50% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. It's close to a coin flip, so the crowd genuinely isn't sure. Over the last 7 days the odds moved +20 pts.
How this resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Murphy Cassone in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Murphy Cassone. This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Harold Mayot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution sou…