Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 0% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.
How this resolves
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Arthur Gea in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Arthur Gea. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will …
