UMass vs. Toledo
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 50% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. It's close to a coin flip, so the crowd genuinely isn't sure. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.
How this resolves
In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Toledo, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.