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BusinessIPOIPOsFinance

CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?

6 outcomes · ranked

$156K traded
↑ 1T yuan
100%
↑ 1.5T yuan
96%
↑ 2T yuan
83%
↑ 2.5T yuan
57%
↑ 3T yuan
41%
↑ 3.5T yuan
31%

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%↑ 1T yuan · +50 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 6 outcomes, the market's favourite is ↑ 1T yuan at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No”. Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be c…

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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