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Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals

Near certain

$458K traded

Probability over time

last 30 days
41%Yes · +59 pts over period100%

What this means

Traders currently price this at 100% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward yes, though it's far from settled. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.

How this resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for August 4 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolves: Aug 11, 2026Source of truth: https://www.mlb.com/

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