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NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?

5 outcomes · ranked

$256K traded
Under $4M
98%
$4M-$10M
2%
$15M-$50M
0%
$10M-$15M
0%
Over $50M
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%Under $4M · +48 pts over period98%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is Under $4M at 98%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Resolves: Oct 31, 2026

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