UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims)
53%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 53% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. It's close to a coin flip, so the crowd genuinely isn't sure. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -14 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Alatengheili" if Alatengheili is officially declared the winner of the fight against John Castaneda at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "John Castaneda" if John Castaneda is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Closed Sep 27, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.ufc.com/events
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