UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)
91%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 91% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward yes, though it's far from settled. Over the last 7 days the odds moved +41 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Marcin Tybura" if Marcin Tybura is officially declared the winner of the fight against Aleksandar Rakic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Aleksandar Rakic" if Aleksandar Rakic is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolves: Aug 2, 2026Source of truth: https://www.ufc.com/events
More in Sports
Sports+5 pts
F1 Drivers' Champion
Kimi Antonelli
74%
Lewis Hamilton
10%
George Russell
6%
22 outcomes$200.6M vol
Sports+1 pt
Pro Football: 2027 Champion
Los Angeles Rams
16%
Buffalo Bills
8%
Baltimore Ravens
7%
24 outcomes$42.6M vol
Sports
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers
34%
New York Yankees
11%
Milwaukee Brewers
10%
24 outcomes$37.4M vol
