UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)
49%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 49% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. It's close to a coin flip, so the crowd genuinely isn't sure. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Oban Elliott" if Oban Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Michael Oliveira at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Michael Oliveira" if Michael Oliveira is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolves: Aug 2, 2026Source of truth: https://www.ufc.com/events
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