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Where will Vinicius Junior transfer?

8 outcomes · ranked

$233K traded
Real Madrid
73%
Arsenal
21%
Manchester City
3%
Paris Saint-Germain
1%
Al-Hilal
1%
Bayern Munich
1%
Al-Nassr
0%
Chelsea
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
89%Real Madrid · -17 pts over period73%

What this means

Across 8 outcomes, the market's favourite is Real Madrid at 73%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the next team Vinicius Junior officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Vinicius Junior does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If Vinicius Junior joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Vinicius Junior is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Real Madrid and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Resolves: Sep 2, 2026

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