Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
12 outcomes · ranked
$634K tradedJustin Gaethje
76%
Arman Tsarukyan
14%
Charles Oliveira
10%
Max Holloway
5%
Benoît Saint Denis
4%
Ilia Topuria
4%
Paddy Pimblett
2%
Mateusz Gamrot
1%
Mauricio Ruffy
1%
Rafael Fiziev
1%
Dan Hooker
0%
Renato Moicano
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 12 outcomes, the market's favourite is Justin Gaethje at 76%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolves: Dec 31, 2026