Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
99%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 99% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward yes, though it's far from settled. Over the last 7 days the odds moved +29 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is visibly in the frame for the winning team's official team photo following the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Trump does not attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Closed Jul 20, 2026 · awaiting resolution
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