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World Cup 2030: Location of Final

5 outcomes · ranked

$199K traded
Other / Unconfirmed by 2028
41%
Madrid
39%
Moroccan city
10%
Portuguese city
1%
Barcelona
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
42%Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 · -1 pts over period41%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is Other / Unconfirmed by 2028 at 41%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own. If FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials. A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final. If no host city for the final is officially announced by Decembe…

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