World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is 46m-50m at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership infor…