World Cup Winner
10 outcomes · ranked
$4.0B tradedFrance
33%
Argentina
18%
Spain
18%
England
14%
Norway
6%
Colombia
3%
Morocco
3%
Belgium
2%
Switzerland
1%
Egypt
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is France at 33%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves: Jul 20, 2026
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