2nd Largest Company end of September?
9 outcomes · ranked
$132K tradedApple
90%
NVIDIA
8%
Alphabet
1%
Microsoft
0%
Tesla
0%
Saudi Aramco
0%
Amazon
0%
Broadcom
0%
SpaceX
0%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 9 outcomes, the market's favourite is Apple at 90%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolves: Sep 30, 2026
More in Economy
Economy-10 pts
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
69%
Apple
20%
Alphabet
7%
8 outcomes$7.4M vol
Economy+25 pts
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.25%
49%
4.0%
24%
≥ 4.5%
18%
15 outcomes$6.9M vol
Economy
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting
53%
June 2027 Meeting
51%
April 2027 Meeting
50%
7 outcomes$3.7M vol
