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Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

3 outcomes · ranked

$1.4M traded
December 31, 2029
22%
December 31, 2028
19%
December 31, 2027
10%

Probability over time

last 30 days
49%December 31, 2029 · -27 pts over period22%

What this means

Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2029 at 22%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jan 1, 2030

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