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EconomyBOJJapanWorld

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

5 outcomes · ranked

$120K traded
No change
76%
25 bps increase
21%
50+ bps increase
1%
25 bps decrease
0%
50+ bps decrease
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
87%No change · -10 pts over period76%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is No change at 76%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the fo…

Resolves: Sep 18, 2026

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