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Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

5 outcomes · ranked

$187K traded
No change
87%
25 bps decrease
13%
50+ bps decrease
0%
25 bps increase
0%
50+ bps increase
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
95%No change · -7 pts over period88%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is No change at 87%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the ch…

Resolves: Nov 5, 2026Source of truth: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

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