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Bitcoin above ___ on September 4?

11 outcomes · ranked

$182K traded
68,000
99%
70,000
99%
72,000
97%
74,000
93%
76,000
79%
78,000
47%
80,000
20%
82,000
7%
84,000
3%
86,000
2%
88,000
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
98%68,000 · +1 pts over period99%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 68,000 at 99%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolves: Sep 4, 2026

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