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Topic
Crypto & Digital Assets
Bitcoin, Ethereum, ETFs and on-chain milestones — probabilities, not hype.
90 live questions · odds as of Jul 5, 2026
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 65,000
89%
↓ 55,000
71%
↑ 70,000
69%
24 outcomes$46.2M vol
Cryptoflat
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
5%
Very unlikely$27.0M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
6%
September 30, 2026
2%
2 outcomes$9.2M vol
Crypto-6 pts
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
18%
September 30
2%
2 outcomes$8.6M vol
Crypto+20 pts
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↑ 2,000
76%
↓ 1,500
68%
↓ 1,250
46%
23 outcomes$7.6M vol
Crypto-8 pts
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
69%
June 30, 2027
54%
December 31, 2026
25%
4 outcomes$7.4M vol
Crypto-10 pts
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
31%
$100M
31%
$500M
28%
8 outcomes$6.4M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
93%
$100M
87%
$200M
82%
11 outcomes$5.7M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
57%
$100M
50%
$200M
32%
5 outcomes$5.4M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
6%
Very unlikely$4.3M vol
Cryptoflat
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
24%
$300M
23%
$500M
20%
8 outcomes$3.1M vol
Crypto+3 pts
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
79%
$300M
49%
$500M
31%
7 outcomes$2.9M vol
Crypto-8 pts
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
12%
Unlikely$2.8M vol
Crypto+2 pts
MegaETH airdrop by...?
22%
Unlikely$2.6M vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
↑ 65,000
73%
↑ 67,500
46%
↓ 57,500
39%
18 outcomes$2.5M vol
Cryptoflat
Ethereum all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
5%
September 30, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$2.3M vol
Crypto-2 pts
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
December 31
3%
July 31
1%
2 outcomes$2.0M vol
Crypto+7 pts
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↑ 80
68%
↓ 50
56%
↑ 90
46%
10 outcomes$1.7M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
95%
$200M
94%
$300M
78%
10 outcomes$1.6M vol
Crypto-5 pts
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
23%
Unlikely$1.6M vol
Crypto-9 pts
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
29%
September 30, 2026
3%
2 outcomes$1.6M vol
Crypto+6 pts
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
47%
Toss-up$1.5M vol
Crypto-2 pts
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
68%
$400M
38%
$800M
19%
9 outcomes$1.5M vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit June 29-July 5?
↑ 64,000
7%
↑ 66,000
0%
↑ 74,000
0%
12 outcomes$1.3M vol
Crypto-3 pts
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
37%
Leaning no$1.2M vol
Crypto+22 pts
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↑ 90
80%
↓ 60
63%
↑ 100
56%
20 outcomes$1.1M vol
Cryptoflat
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
3%
Very unlikely$1.0M vol
Crypto+8 pts
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
S&P 500
68%
Gold
19%
Bitcoin
13%
3 outcomes$861K vol
Crypto+10 pts
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
39%
December 31, 2026
15%
September 30, 2026
1%
3 outcomes$842K vol
Cryptoflat
Solana all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
5%
September 30, 2026
2%
2 outcomes$820K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
November
19%
December
19%
October
17%
7 outcomes$734K vol
Crypto+39 pts
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
↑ $3
63%
↑ $4
32%
↑ $6
14%
5 outcomes$728K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
67%
$250M
58%
$500M
47%
6 outcomes$713K vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit in July?
↑ 1,900
60%
↑ 2,000
34%
↓ 1,500
23%
16 outcomes$686K vol
Crypto+10 pts
Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
59%
December 31, 2026
24%
September 30, 2026
9%
3 outcomes$658K vol
Crypto+1 pt
GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
99%
$100M
96%
$200M
80%
7 outcomes$647K vol
Crypto-6 pts
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
71%
$1B
71%
$2B
66%
10 outcomes$643K vol
Crypto-2 pts
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
8%
Very unlikely$586K vol
Crypto+2 pts
OKX IPO in 2026?
11%
Unlikely$574K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
1%
Very unlikely$524K vol
Crypto-12 pts
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2027
46%
June 30, 2027
21%
December 31, 2026
14%
3 outcomes$506K vol
Crypto-17 pts
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
55%
September 30, 2027
51%
June 30, 2027
49%
6 outcomes$501K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
48%
December 31, 2026
21%
September 30, 2026
14%
3 outcomes$488K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
14%
Unlikely$483K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on July 6?
50,000
100%
52,000
100%
54,000
100%
11 outcomes$463K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$70M
64%
$150M
22%
$200M
19%
6 outcomes$458K vol
Crypto-5 pts
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
16%
September 30, 2026
6%
2 outcomes$439K vol
Crypto-1 pt
SBF released from custody in 2026?
4%
Very unlikely$436K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
62%
$400M
32%
$600M
28%
9 outcomes$426K vol
Crypto+3 pts
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
24%
Unlikely$423K vol
Crypto+7 pts
XRP all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
10%
September 30, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$396K vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit June 29-July 5?
↑ 1,900
0%
↑ 2,300
0%
↑ 2,200
0%
12 outcomes$394K vol
Crypto+8 pts
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
71%
September 30, 2026
12%
2 outcomes$372K vol
Crypto+9 pts
Will Hibachi launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
66%
December 31, 2026
33%
September 30, 2026
16%
3 outcomes$339K vol
Crypto+23 pts
How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?
>$600M
68%
>$400M
57%
>$200M
55%
5 outcomes$330K vol
Crypto-3 pts
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1B
18%
$2B
16%
$3B
12%
3 outcomes$326K vol
Crypto-4 pts
Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
40%
$25M
31%
$50M
25%
7 outcomes$325K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$25M
33%
$50M
22%
$100M
13%
8 outcomes$316K vol
Crypto-6 pts
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
↑ 700
30%
↑ 800
18%
↑ 900
18%
7 outcomes$312K vol
Crypto-7 pts
Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
83%
June 30, 2027
73%
December 31, 2026
66%
4 outcomes$304K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
50%
Toss-up$302K vol
Crypto+6 pts
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↑ 0.30
52%
↑ 0.40
49%
↑ 0.24
39%
11 outcomes$302K vol
Crypto-3 pts
Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
USDTb
11%
GHO
9%
USDS
8%
9 outcomes$297K vol
Crypto-12 pts
Will Nansen launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
34%
December 31, 2026
21%
September 30, 2026
7%
3 outcomes$291K vol
Crypto-6 pts
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
74%
Likely$274K vol
Crypto-2 pts
Hyperliquid listed on Binance by ...?
17%
Unlikely$255K vol
Crypto+3 pts
Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
56%
September 30, 2026
24%
2 outcomes$243K vol
Crypto+11 pts
What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↓ 0.04
49%
↑ 0.32
15%
↑ 0.36
10%
12 outcomes$241K vol
Crypto-17 pts
Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$5M
26%
$10M
13%
$20M
9%
8 outcomes$236K vol
Crypto+8 pts
Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
65%
December 31, 2026
17%
September 30, 2026
11%
3 outcomes$233K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on July 7?
48,000
100%
52,000
100%
50,000
100%
11 outcomes$229K vol
Crypto+11 pts
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
85%
September 30, 2026
65%
2 outcomes$221K vol
Crypto-16 pts
Will Perena launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
27%
September 30, 2026
17%
2 outcomes$212K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
43%
December 31, 2026
18%
2 outcomes$201K vol
Crypto+31 pts
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
C3.ai
41%
Beyond Meat
34%
Workhorse
31%
14 outcomes$200K vol
Crypto-21 pts
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 1.00
70%
↓ 0.60
50%
↓ 0.80
42%
15 outcomes$196K vol
Crypto+14 pts
STRC hits $100 by…
December 31
54%
September 30
39%
2 outcomes$192K vol
Crypto
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
5%
Very unlikely$191K vol
Crypto-20 pts
Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?
61%
Leaning yes$189K vol
Crypto
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
4%
Very unlikely$188K vol
Crypto-4 pts
Will Daylight launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
40%
December 31, 2026
24%
September 30, 2026
13%
3 outcomes$188K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
4%
September 30 2026
3%
2 outcomes$186K vol
Crypto-7 pts
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
43%
Leaning no$183K vol
Crypto-2 pts
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
5%
Very unlikely$183K vol
Crypto+6 pts
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
63%
$600M
55%
$400M
46%
8 outcomes$181K vol
Crypto-8 pts
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
20%
September 30 2026
8%
2 outcomes$174K vol
Crypto+4 pts
Laso Finance FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$1M
100%
$5M
100%
$3M
99%
10 outcomes$173K vol
Crypto
What price will Solana hit in July?
↑ 90
54%
↓ 70
44%
↑ 100
23%
15 outcomes$171K vol
Crypto-3 pts
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
11%
Unlikely$159K vol
Crypto+8 pts
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
80%
Likely$154K vol
Crypto — frequently asked
What is the most likely crypto outcome right now?
The most actively traded crypto question is “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”, currently at 89% on the market.
How often do crypto odds update?
WillThisHappen refreshes probabilities from the underlying prediction market roughly every 15 minutes, and shows the 7-day change so you can see which way sentiment is moving.
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