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Topic
Crypto & Digital Assets
Bitcoin, Ethereum, ETFs and on-chain milestones — probabilities, not hype.
90 live questions · odds as of Oct 9, 2026
Crypto-13 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 90,000
59%
↓ 70,000
40%
↑ 95,000
40%
24 outcomes$74.2M vol
Cryptoflat
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2027
25%
by September 30, 2027
18%
by June 30, 2027
13%
5 outcomes$27.3M vol
Cryptoflat
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
5%
Very unlikely$23.9M vol
Crypto+23 pts
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↓ 2,250
51%
↑ 3,000
41%
↓ 2,000
26%
22 outcomes$17.4M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
6%
Very unlikely$10.5M vol
Crypto+2 pts
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
7%
Very unlikely$8.7M vol
Crypto-3 pts
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
45%
June 30, 2027
21%
December 31, 2026
8%
3 outcomes$8.0M vol
Crypto+3 pts
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
15%
$500M
14%
$100M
14%
8 outcomes$6.9M vol
Crypto+12 pts
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
96%
$100M
95%
$200M
91%
11 outcomes$6.9M vol
Crypto+1 pt
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
28%
$100M
25%
$200M
17%
5 outcomes$5.6M vol
Cryptoflat
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
3%
Very unlikely$5.2M vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
↑ 82,500
90%
↓ 80,000
78%
↑ 85,000
65%
20 outcomes$4.6M vol
Crypto+2 pts
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
70%
$300M
44%
$500M
23%
7 outcomes$4.0M vol
Cryptoflat
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
99%
$200M
98%
$300M
96%
10 outcomes$3.4M vol
Cryptoflat
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
6%
$700M
5%
$1B
5%
8 outcomes$3.3M vol
Crypto-8 pts
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
13%
Unlikely$2.8M vol
Crypto-4 pts
MegaETH airdrop by...?
14%
Unlikely$2.6M vol
Crypto-2 pts
Ethereum all time high by ___?
5%
Very unlikely$2.6M vol
Crypto+5 pts
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↓ 75
63%
↓ 70
61%
↑ 100
53%
18 outcomes$2.5M vol
Crypto+14 pts
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↓ 90
41%
↑ 140
35%
↓ 80
23%
20 outcomes$2.2M vol
Cryptoflat
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
2%
Very unlikely$2.0M vol
Cryptoflat
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
9%
Very unlikely$1.7M vol
Crypto+4 pts
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
57%
$100M
55%
$200M
45%
11 outcomes$1.6M vol
Crypto-34 pts
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
32%
June 30, 2027
32%
March 31, 2027
19%
4 outcomes$1.6M vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit in October?
↑ 2,500
81%
↓ 2,400
77%
↑ 2,600
63%
20 outcomes$1.2M vol
Crypto-10 pts
STRC hits $100 by…
81%
Likely$1.2M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
78%
Likely$1.2M vol
Cryptoflat
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2%
Very unlikely$1.1M vol
Crypto+8 pts
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
32%
$250M
28%
$500M
14%
6 outcomes$971K vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?
↑ 82,000
71%
↓ 80,000
40%
↑ 84,000
31%
16 outcomes$944K vol
Crypto+8 pts
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
S&P 500
67%
Bitcoin
22%
Gold
9%
3 outcomes$941K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
26%
December 31, 2026
4%
2 outcomes$923K vol
Crypto+20 pts
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
↓ $3
66%
↓ $2.5
51%
↑ $6
41%
9 outcomes$864K vol
Crypto-5 pts
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
August
81%
December
7%
November
5%
4 outcomes$863K vol
Crypto-14 pts
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
45%
$2B
41%
$1B
41%
10 outcomes$858K vol
Cryptoflat
Solana all time high by ___?
3%
Very unlikely$843K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
19%
December 31, 2026
12%
2 outcomes$713K vol
Crypto+5 pts
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
↓ 700
38%
↑ 2000
33%
↓ 600
22%
9 outcomes$678K vol
Crypto-16 pts
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
June 30, 2027
2%
September 30, 2027
2%
December 31, 2026
2%
5 outcomes$630K vol
Cryptoflat
OKX IPO in 2026?
5%
Very unlikely$617K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 9?
76,000
100%
78,000
98%
80,000
91%
11 outcomes$613K vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit October 5-11?
↑ 2,500
79%
↓ 2,400
38%
↑ 2,600
17%
16 outcomes$612K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
71%
June 30, 2027
33%
December 31, 2026
10%
3 outcomes$607K vol
Crypto+13 pts
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2027
54%
June 30, 2027
33%
December 31, 2026
10%
3 outcomes$602K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
7%
Very unlikely$601K vol
Crypto-21 pts
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
4%
$1B
4%
$3B
4%
9 outcomes$559K vol
Crypto
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
6%
Very unlikely$543K vol
Crypto-23 pts
Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
45%
$70M
40%
$40M
38%
8 outcomes$510K vol
Crypto-9 pts
Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
48%
December 31, 2026
12%
2 outcomes$501K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
45%
Leaning no$475K vol
Cryptoflat
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
3%
Very unlikely$472K vol
Crypto+15 pts
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
97%
June 30, 2027
97%
September 30, 2027
96%
7 outcomes$472K vol
Cryptoflat
SBF released from custody in 2026?
2%
Very unlikely$465K vol
Crypto+5 pts
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
92%
November 30, 2026
27%
October 31, 2026
4%
3 outcomes$453K vol
Cryptoflat
XRP all time high by ___?
6%
Very unlikely$448K vol
Crypto+16 pts
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 1.20
63%
↓ 1.00
28%
↓ 0.80
11%
18 outcomes$438K vol
Crypto+5 pts
Will Hibachi launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
90%
December 31, 2026
60%
2 outcomes$407K vol
Crypto+1 pt
First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
None by December 25, 2026
87%
Artificial Inu (AI)
8%
Cash Cat (CASHCAT)
3%
5 outcomes$386K vol
Crypto+4 pts
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
74%
Likely$379K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
26%
$25M
16%
$50M
9%
7 outcomes$374K vol
Crypto+22 pts
Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
48%
$5M
42%
$25M
13%
10 outcomes$367K vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 8?
↓ 80,000
4%
↑ 84,000
2%
↓ 79,000
1%
13 outcomes$339K vol
Crypto
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$3B
8%
$1B
6%
$2B
6%
3 outcomes$333K vol
Crypto-2 pts
How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?
>$200M
50%
>$400M
47%
>$600M
32%
5 outcomes$331K vol
Crypto
Will Nansen launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
26%
December 31, 2026
7%
2 outcomes$331K vol
Crypto-6 pts
Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
4%
Very unlikely$330K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
USDTb
6%
USD1
6%
PYUSD
6%
9 outcomes$304K vol
Crypto+1 pt
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↑ 0.30
28%
↑ 0.24
25%
↑ 0.50
21%
11 outcomes$304K vol
Crypto+11 pts
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
20%
Unlikely$285K vol
Crypto-2 pts
What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↓ 0.08
41%
↓ 0.12
41%
↑ 0.32
35%
14 outcomes$277K vol
Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on October 9?
2,200
100%
2,300
99%
2,400
92%
11 outcomes$269K vol
Crypto-15 pts
Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
46%
Toss-up$269K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
4%
Very unlikely$263K vol
Crypto
Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
6%
$30M
5%
$5M
5%
8 outcomes$257K vol
Crypto-25 pts
Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
36%
December 31, 2026
10%
2 outcomes$253K vol
Crypto+5 pts
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Workhorse
14%
Beyond Meat
10%
Xerox
6%
15 outcomes$251K vol
Crypto
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Thom Tillis
12%
Mike Lee
10%
Kirsten Gillibrand
10%
15 outcomes$249K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
47%
$400M
32%
$600M
24%
8 outcomes$244K vol
Crypto+3 pts
Printr FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
11%
$200M
10%
$150M
9%
10 outcomes$229K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
6%
$75M
3%
$100M
2%
11 outcomes$225K vol
Crypto-4 pts
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
22%
Unlikely$221K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Will Perena launch a token by ___?
13%
Unlikely$221K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?
3%
Very unlikely$216K vol
Crypto-7 pts
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
↑ 0.0070
55%
↑ 0.0080
42%
↓ 0.0030
28%
9 outcomes$208K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Will Daylight launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
35%
December 31, 2026
10%
2 outcomes$207K vol
Crypto
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
Very unlikely$205K vol
Crypto-6 pts
Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
44%
December 31, 2026
8%
2 outcomes$204K vol
Crypto-8 pts
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
69%
Likely$202K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
1%
Very unlikely$198K vol
Crypto+14 pts
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
↓ 650
57%
↓ 600
39%
↑ 1000
19%
15 outcomes$194K vol
Crypto — frequently asked
What is the most likely crypto outcome right now?
The most actively traded crypto question is “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”, currently at 59% on the market.
How often do crypto odds update?
WillThisHappen refreshes probabilities from the underlying prediction market roughly every 15 minutes, and shows the 7-day change so you can see which way sentiment is moving.
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