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Topic
Crypto & Digital Assets
Bitcoin, Ethereum, ETFs and on-chain milestones — probabilities, not hype.
90 live questions · odds as of Aug 21, 2026
Crypto+50 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 80,000
81%
↑ 85,000
63%
↑ 90,000
47%
24 outcomes$56.4M vol
Crypto
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2027
64%
by September 30, 2027
36%
by June 30, 2027
14%
5 outcomes$27.2M vol
Crypto+59 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
↑ 80,000
60%
↑ 82,500
35%
↓ 70,000
23%
17 outcomes$14.5M vol
Crypto+48 pts
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↑ 2,500
87%
↑ 2,750
65%
↑ 3,000
48%
22 outcomes$11.2M vol
Crypto+4 pts
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
9%
September 30, 2026
3%
2 outcomes$9.7M vol
Crypto-5 pts
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
7%
September 30
2%
2 outcomes$8.7M vol
Crypto
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
53%
June 30, 2027
34%
December 31, 2026
7%
4 outcomes$7.5M vol
Crypto+11 pts
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
28%
Unlikely$7.5M vol
Crypto+7 pts
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
22%
$100M
20%
$300M
17%
8 outcomes$6.7M vol
Cryptoflat
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
88%
$100M
82%
$200M
74%
11 outcomes$6.2M vol
Crypto+7 pts
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
28%
$50M
25%
$200M
19%
5 outcomes$5.5M vol
Cryptoflat
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
5%
Very unlikely$4.8M vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit in August?
↓ 2,300
71%
↑ 2,500
54%
↓ 2,200
39%
21 outcomes$4.4M vol
Crypto+4 pts
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
78%
$300M
38%
$500M
18%
7 outcomes$3.5M vol
Crypto+6 pts
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$300M
14%
$100M
14%
$500M
13%
8 outcomes$3.2M vol
Crypto+6 pts
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
18%
Unlikely$2.8M vol
Crypto+4 pts
MegaETH airdrop by...?
21%
Unlikely$2.6M vol
Crypto+1 pt
Ethereum all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
5%
September 30, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$2.4M vol
Cryptoflat
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
3%
Very unlikely$2.0M vol
Crypto+52 pts
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↑ 80
82%
↑ 90
56%
↑ 100
47%
10 outcomes$2.0M vol
Crypto+2 pts
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
97%
$200M
94%
$300M
89%
10 outcomes$1.9M vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on August 21?
52,000
100%
54,000
100%
56,000
100%
11 outcomes$1.7M vol
Crypto+2 pts
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
14%
September 30, 2026
2%
2 outcomes$1.6M vol
Cryptoflat
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
11%
Unlikely$1.6M vol
Crypto-6 pts
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
53%
$100M
47%
$200M
46%
11 outcomes$1.5M vol
Crypto+36 pts
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↑ 100
77%
↑ 120
40%
↓ 70
39%
20 outcomes$1.5M vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit August 17-23?
↓ 60,000
1%
↓ 50,000
0%
↓ 62,000
0%
7 outcomes$1.4M vol
Crypto
What price will XRP hit in August?
↓ 1.20
36%
↑ 1.60
22%
↑ 1.80
8%
14 outcomes$1.4M vol
Crypto+18 pts
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
88%
Likely$1.2M vol
Cryptoflat
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
3%
Very unlikely$1.0M vol
Crypto-10 pts
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
S&P 500
59%
Gold
24%
Bitcoin
16%
3 outcomes$897K vol
Crypto
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
23%
December 31, 2026
6%
September 30, 2026
2%
3 outcomes$886K vol
Cryptoflat
Solana all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
3%
September 30, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$822K vol
Crypto
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
37%
$250M
28%
$500M
25%
6 outcomes$816K vol
Crypto+54 pts
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
August
59%
April
10%
December
10%
6 outcomes$794K vol
Crypto+27 pts
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
↑ $3
84%
↑ $4
51%
↑ $6
18%
5 outcomes$765K vol
Crypto-4 pts
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
56%
$2B
54%
$1B
49%
10 outcomes$709K vol
Crypto-10 pts
Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
36%
December 31, 2026
23%
September 30, 2026
5%
3 outcomes$666K vol
Crypto+34 pts
What price will Solana hit in August?
↑ 100
35%
↓ 80
24%
↑ 110
10%
15 outcomes$649K vol
Crypto-4 pts
STRC hits $100 by…
December 31
69%
September 30
36%
2 outcomes$607K vol
Crypto
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
3%
Very unlikely$594K vol
Crypto-1 pt
OKX IPO in 2026?
6%
Very unlikely$593K vol
Crypto-7 pts
Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
73%
June 30, 2027
61%
December 31, 2026
25%
4 outcomes$540K vol
Crypto-2 pts
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2027
27%
June 30, 2027
21%
December 31, 2026
16%
3 outcomes$527K vol
Crypto+19 pts
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
March 31, 2027
51%
December 31, 2027
40%
June 30, 2027
38%
6 outcomes$523K vol
Crypto
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
8%
Very unlikely$505K vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit August 17-23?
↑ 2,500
27%
↑ 2,600
9%
↓ 1,800
1%
9 outcomes$502K vol
Crypto
Ethereum above ___ on August 21?
1,400
100%
1,500
100%
1,600
100%
11 outcomes$496K vol
Crypto+6 pts
Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
69%
December 31, 2026
31%
September 30, 2026
3%
3 outcomes$493K vol
Crypto-7 pts
Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
62%
$40M
55%
$70M
52%
8 outcomes$482K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
35%
$400M
25%
$600M
23%
9 outcomes$451K vol
Cryptoflat
SBF released from custody in 2026?
4%
Very unlikely$448K vol
Crypto+7 pts
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
24%
Unlikely$445K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
10%
September 30, 2026
2%
2 outcomes$441K vol
Cryptoflat
XRP all time high by ___?
December 31, 2026
6%
September 30, 2026
2%
2 outcomes$405K vol
Crypto+5 pts
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
66%
September 30, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$400K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on August 22?
52,000
100%
54,000
100%
56,000
100%
11 outcomes$396K vol
Crypto+45 pts
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
↑ 700
80%
↑ 800
48%
↑ 900
26%
7 outcomes$367K vol
Crypto+3 pts
Will Hibachi launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
79%
December 31, 2026
32%
September 30, 2026
3%
3 outcomes$359K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
46%
$5M
41%
$25M
13%
10 outcomes$357K vol
Crypto+6 pts
Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
21%
$25M
16%
$50M
9%
7 outcomes$352K vol
Crypto+1 pt
How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?
>$400M
61%
>$200M
55%
>$600M
46%
5 outcomes$330K vol
Cryptoflat
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1B
10%
$3B
9%
$2B
8%
3 outcomes$330K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
18%
Unlikely$318K vol
Crypto-5 pts
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
85%
September 30, 2026
12%
2 outcomes$307K vol
Crypto+2 pts
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↑ 0.30
33%
↑ 0.40
32%
↑ 0.50
31%
11 outcomes$304K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
USD0
18%
USDTb
9%
USDS
7%
9 outcomes$301K vol
Crypto-2 pts
Will Nansen launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
24%
December 31, 2026
11%
September 30, 2026
2%
3 outcomes$301K vol
Crypto-32 pts
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
35%
Leaning no$275K vol
Crypto-26 pts
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 0.80
20%
↓ 0.60
12%
↑ 2.60
7%
14 outcomes$263K vol
Crypto+3 pts
Hyperliquid listed on Binance by ...?
14%
Unlikely$257K vol
Crypto-2 pts
Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
38%
September 30, 2026
7%
2 outcomes$255K vol
Crypto
Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$5M
14%
$20M
14%
$10M
13%
8 outcomes$249K vol
Crypto+2 pts
What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↓ 0.04
43%
↑ 0.36
10%
↑ 0.32
10%
12 outcomes$246K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?
99%
Near certain$243K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
43%
December 31, 2026
16%
September 30, 2026
2%
3 outcomes$236K vol
Crypto-9 pts
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Workhorse
18%
Beyond Meat
14%
C3.ai
13%
14 outcomes$225K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
86%
September 30, 2027
71%
June 30, 2027
67%
6 outcomes$224K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
44%
$400M
37%
$600M
22%
8 outcomes$221K vol
Crypto
XRP above ___ on August 21?
1.00
100%
1.10
100%
0.50
100%
11 outcomes$220K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will Perena launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026
21%
September 30, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$218K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
3%
September 30 2026
1%
2 outcomes$208K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
7%
Very unlikely$204K vol
Crypto
Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
42%
December 31, 2026
7%
2 outcomes$202K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
Very unlikely$197K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
Very unlikely$196K vol
Crypto+6 pts
Will Daylight launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
38%
December 31, 2026
10%
September 30, 2026
3%
3 outcomes$190K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?
45%
Toss-up$189K vol
Crypto
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
4%
Very unlikely$188K vol
Crypto
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
December 31 2026
18%
September 30 2026
4%
2 outcomes$187K vol
Crypto — frequently asked
What is the most likely crypto outcome right now?
The most actively traded crypto question is “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”, currently at 81% on the market.
How often do crypto odds update?
WillThisHappen refreshes probabilities from the underlying prediction market roughly every 15 minutes, and shows the 7-day change so you can see which way sentiment is moving.
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