₿
Topic
Crypto & Digital Assets
Bitcoin, Ethereum, ETFs and on-chain milestones — probabilities, not hype.
90 live questions · odds as of Oct 6, 2026
Crypto+7 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 90,000
75%
↑ 95,000
56%
↑ 100,000
36%
24 outcomes$73.0M vol
Crypto-5 pts
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2027
30%
by September 30, 2027
26%
by June 30, 2027
17%
5 outcomes$27.3M vol
Cryptoflat
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
5%
Very unlikely$23.8M vol
Crypto+3 pts
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↑ 3,000
68%
↑ 3,500
28%
↓ 2,250
23%
22 outcomes$17.2M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Bitcoin all time high by ___?
6%
Very unlikely$10.5M vol
Cryptoflat
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
7%
Very unlikely$8.7M vol
Crypto-16 pts
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
44%
June 30, 2027
36%
December 31, 2026
7%
3 outcomes$8.0M vol
Crypto-8 pts
Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
14%
$300M
14%
$100M
13%
8 outcomes$6.8M vol
Crypto+12 pts
Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
97%
$100M
91%
$200M
84%
11 outcomes$6.7M vol
Crypto
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
28%
$100M
25%
$200M
16%
5 outcomes$5.6M vol
Cryptoflat
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
3%
Very unlikely$5.2M vol
Crypto+1 pt
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
68%
$300M
37%
$500M
22%
7 outcomes$3.9M vol
Crypto-4 pts
Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
6%
$300M
6%
$1B
5%
8 outcomes$3.3M vol
Crypto+1 pt
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
99%
$200M
98%
$300M
95%
10 outcomes$3.2M vol
Crypto+4 pts
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?
22%
Unlikely$2.8M vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
↑ 87,500
78%
↓ 82,500
69%
↑ 90,000
56%
19 outcomes$2.8M vol
Crypto-4 pts
MegaETH airdrop by...?
10%
Very unlikely$2.6M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Ethereum all time high by ___?
6%
Very unlikely$2.6M vol
Crypto+11 pts
What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↑ 100
76%
↑ 110
48%
↓ 75
47%
18 outcomes$2.5M vol
Crypto+3 pts
What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↑ 140
55%
↑ 160
28%
↓ 90
25%
20 outcomes$2.1M vol
Cryptoflat
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
2%
Very unlikely$2.0M vol
Crypto-6 pts
Will Opensea launch a token by ___?
8%
Very unlikely$1.7M vol
Crypto+1 pt
StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
61%
$100M
59%
$200M
45%
11 outcomes$1.6M vol
Crypto-4 pts
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
66%
June 30, 2027
34%
March 31, 2027
18%
4 outcomes$1.6M vol
Crypto
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
100%
Near certain$1.5M vol
Crypto-8 pts
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?
72%
Likely$1.2M vol
Crypto+8 pts
STRC hits $100 by…
86%
Likely$1.2M vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2%
Very unlikely$1.1M vol
Crypto
Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M
26%
$250M
24%
$500M
13%
6 outcomes$949K vol
Crypto+4 pts
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
S&P 500
62%
Bitcoin
22%
Gold
12%
3 outcomes$940K vol
Crypto
Will Tempo launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
27%
December 31, 2026
4%
2 outcomes$923K vol
Crypto-5 pts
Bitcoin best month in 2026?
August
83%
October
7%
December
6%
4 outcomes$862K vol
Crypto-1 pt
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
↓ $3
56%
↑ $6
38%
↓ $2.5
32%
9 outcomes$862K vol
Crypto-10 pts
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$500M
51%
$2B
45%
$1B
45%
10 outcomes$851K vol
Cryptoflat
Solana all time high by ___?
3%
Very unlikely$843K vol
Crypto
What price will Ethereum hit in October?
↑ 2,800
77%
↓ 2,600
76%
↑ 2,900
54%
19 outcomes$809K vol
Cryptoflat
Will fomo.family launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
18%
December 31, 2026
9%
2 outcomes$712K vol
Crypto-13 pts
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
↑ 2000
38%
↓ 700
28%
↓ 600
17%
9 outcomes$667K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6?
74,000
100%
76,000
100%
78,000
100%
11 outcomes$643K vol
Crypto-1 pt
OKX IPO in 2026?
5%
Very unlikely$617K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
71%
June 30, 2027
37%
December 31, 2026
10%
3 outcomes$607K vol
Crypto
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
7%
Very unlikely$601K vol
Crypto+3 pts
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
December 31, 2027
39%
June 30, 2027
33%
December 31, 2026
15%
3 outcomes$591K vol
Crypto-16 pts
Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
36%
September 30, 2027
25%
June 30, 2027
19%
5 outcomes$578K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
7%
Very unlikely$542K vol
Crypto-25 pts
Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
54%
$40M
43%
$70M
43%
8 outcomes$507K vol
Crypto+16 pts
Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
53%
December 31, 2026
11%
2 outcomes$501K vol
Crypto-18 pts
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
24%
$400M
16%
$600M
14%
9 outcomes$490K vol
Crypto+5 pts
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
49%
Toss-up$474K vol
Cryptoflat
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
3%
Very unlikely$472K vol
Cryptoflat
SBF released from custody in 2026?
2%
Very unlikely$465K vol
Crypto-5 pts
Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2026
86%
November 30, 2026
28%
October 31, 2026
8%
3 outcomes$451K vol
Crypto-1 pt
XRP all time high by ___?
6%
Very unlikely$447K vol
Crypto-12 pts
What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 1.20
40%
↓ 1.00
19%
↑ 2.60
17%
18 outcomes$427K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Will Hibachi launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
91%
December 31, 2026
57%
2 outcomes$405K vol
Crypto+11 pts
Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
94%
September 30, 2027
92%
June 30, 2027
86%
5 outcomes$397K vol
Crypto-3 pts
Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?
70%
Likely$375K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Hyperbeat FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
27%
$25M
24%
$50M
9%
7 outcomes$373K vol
Crypto+14 pts
Felix FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$5M
42%
$10M
28%
$25M
14%
10 outcomes$365K vol
Crypto+1 pt
First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
None by December 25, 2026
86%
Artificial Inu (AI)
12%
Cash Cat (CASHCAT)
4%
5 outcomes$364K vol
Crypto+4 pts
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$1B
7%
$3B
7%
$2B
6%
3 outcomes$333K vol
Crypto+9 pts
How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?
>$200M
51%
>$400M
28%
>$600M
27%
5 outcomes$331K vol
Crypto
Will Nansen launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
26%
December 31, 2026
7%
2 outcomes$331K vol
Crypto-7 pts
Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?
5%
Very unlikely$330K vol
Crypto-17 pts
Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
USD0
9%
PYUSD
6%
USD1
6%
9 outcomes$304K vol
Crypto+1 pt
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?
↑ 0.30
28%
↑ 0.24
25%
↑ 0.40
21%
11 outcomes$304K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
8%
Very unlikely$285K vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit October 5-11?
↓ 84,000
66%
↑ 88,000
47%
↓ 82,000
31%
14 outcomes$273K vol
Crypto-5 pts
What price will Ethena hit in 2026?
↑ 0.32
49%
↓ 0.12
48%
↑ 0.36
40%
14 outcomes$272K vol
Crypto-5 pts
Will Theo launch a token by ___ ?
42%
Leaning no$268K vol
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 5?
↑ 94,000
0%
↑ 93,000
0%
↑ 92,000
0%
14 outcomes$262K vol
Crypto
Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$10M
6%
$30M
5%
$5M
5%
8 outcomes$257K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
4%
Very unlikely$257K vol
Crypto+9 pts
Will Loopscale launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
65%
December 31, 2026
13%
2 outcomes$251K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Workhorse
11%
Beyond Meat
9%
SoundHound AI
8%
15 outcomes$245K vol
Cryptoflat
Unit FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M
46%
$400M
31%
$600M
19%
8 outcomes$243K vol
Cryptoflat
Printr FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M
9%
$300M
9%
$80M
9%
10 outcomes$226K vol
Crypto-1 pt
Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M
5%
$75M
4%
$100M
2%
11 outcomes$225K vol
Crypto+2 pts
Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?
23%
Unlikely$221K vol
Crypto-10 pts
Will Perena launch a token by ___?
8%
Very unlikely$221K vol
Crypto
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Raphael Warnock
12%
Thom Tillis
12%
Jacky Rosen
10%
15 outcomes$217K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Ventuals launch a token by ___ ?
3%
Very unlikely$216K vol
Crypto+4 pts
Will Daylight launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
35%
December 31, 2026
12%
2 outcomes$206K vol
Crypto+1 pt
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%
Very unlikely$205K vol
Crypto-4 pts
Will Axiom launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027
49%
December 31, 2026
8%
2 outcomes$204K vol
Crypto+51 pts
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
↑ 0.0070
89%
↑ 0.0080
53%
↑ 0.0090
48%
9 outcomes$203K vol
Crypto-5 pts
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
70%
Likely$202K vol
Cryptoflat
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
1%
Very unlikely$198K vol
Crypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 7?
74,000
100%
76,000
100%
78,000
100%
11 outcomes$192K vol
Crypto-13 pts
What price will BNB hit in 2026?
↓ 650
30%
↓ 600
28%
↑ 1000
27%
15 outcomes$190K vol
Crypto — frequently asked
What is the most likely crypto outcome right now?
The most actively traded crypto question is “What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?”, currently at 75% on the market.
How often do crypto odds update?
WillThisHappen refreshes probabilities from the underlying prediction market roughly every 15 minutes, and shows the 7-day change so you can see which way sentiment is moving.
Other topics
Start following the future.
Browse every probability free. Create an account to build a watchlist and get a weekly digest. Upgrade any time for alerts and API access.