Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?
3 outcomes · ranked
$451K tradedDecember 31, 2026
86%
November 30, 2026
28%
October 31, 2026
8%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2026 at 86%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
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