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Kraken IPO by ___ ?

4 outcomes · ranked

$1.6M traded
December 31, 2027
76%
June 30, 2027
24%
March 31, 2027
18%
December 31, 2026
4%

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%December 31, 2027 · +27 pts over period76%

What this means

Across 4 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2027 at 76%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolves: Jan 1, 2028

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