Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
4 outcomes · ranked
$308K tradedDecember 31, 2027
86%
June 30, 2027
71%
December 31, 2026
52%
September 30, 2026
8%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 4 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2027 at 86%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2028