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Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

3 outcomes · ranked

$326K traded
$1B
15%
$2B
15%
$3B
14%

Probability over time

last 30 days
27%$1B · -12 pts over period15%

What this means

Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is $1B at 15%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the mar…

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027

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