Will Perena launch a token by ___?
14%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 14% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -5 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027Source of truth: https://x.com/perena
More in Crypto
Crypto-4 pts
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 90,000
65%
↑ 95,000
45%
↓ 70,000
34%
24 outcomes$73.4M vol
Crypto+1 pt
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2027
27%
by September 30, 2027
25%
by June 30, 2027
14%
5 outcomes$27.3M vol
Cryptoflat
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
5%
Very unlikely$23.9M vol
