Will Perena launch a token by ___?
8%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 8% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -11 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
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