Skip to content
CryptoCryptoCongressPolitics

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

15 outcomes · ranked

$209K traded
Raphael Warnock
12%
Thom Tillis
12%
Josh Hawley
11%
John Fetterman
10%
Mike Lee
10%
Kirsten Gillibrand
10%
Rand Paul
10%
Jacky Rosen
9%
Alex Padilla
9%
Ruben Gallego
8%
Catherine Cortez Masto
8%
Andy Kim
7%

Probability over time

last 30 days
41%Raphael Warnock · -29 pts over period12%

What this means

Across 15 outcomes, the market's favourite is Raphael Warnock at 12%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," votin…

Resolves: Jan 2, 2027

More in Crypto