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Topic
Climate & Weather
Temperature records, storms and climate milestones, quantified by markets.
3 live questions · odds as of Oct 9, 2026
Climate-1 pt
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2%
Very unlikely$18.5M vol
Climate-1 pt
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
2%
Very unlikely$784K vol
Climate+12 pts
Canucks vs. Hurricanes
Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5
93%
Spread -1.5
93%
Spread -2.5
84%
11 outcomes$218K vol
Climate — frequently asked
What is the most likely climate outcome right now?
The most actively traded climate question is “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?”, currently at 2% on the market.
How often do climate odds update?
WillThisHappen refreshes probabilities from the underlying prediction market roughly every 15 minutes, and shows the 7-day change so you can see which way sentiment is moving.
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