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Topic
Climate & Weather
Temperature records, storms and climate milestones, quantified by markets.
2 live questions · odds as of Oct 5, 2026
Climateflat
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2%
Very unlikely$18.5M vol
Climateflat
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
3%
Very unlikely$783K vol
Climate — frequently asked
What is the most likely climate outcome right now?
The most actively traded climate question is “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?”, currently at 2% on the market.
How often do climate odds update?
WillThisHappen refreshes probabilities from the underlying prediction market roughly every 15 minutes, and shows the 7-day change so you can see which way sentiment is moving.
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