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Topic
Culture & Awards
Awards, box office, releases and the cultural moments the crowd is forecasting.
26 live questions · odds as of Oct 9, 2026
Cultureflat
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1%
Very unlikely$66.4M vol
Culture+1 pt
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
March 31, 2027
6%
December 31, 2026
3%
2 outcomes$30.9M vol
Culture+28 pts
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
340-359
28%
360-379
23%
320-339
18%
11 outcomes$5.3M vol
Culture-2 pts
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
Other (Season Cancelled)
89%
Doug Mason
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
23 outcomes$2.5M vol
Culture-9 pts
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
55%
Avengers: Doomsday
43%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
0%
4 outcomes$2.4M vol
Culture+1 pt
Taylor Swift pregnant by...?
10%
Very unlikely$2.1M vol
Culture+2 pts
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny
89%
Taylor Swift
6%
Drake
5%
10 outcomes$1.7M vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
500+
17%
380-399
10%
400-419
10%
16 outcomes$1.5M vol
Culture-2 pts
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden
37%
No Bond chosen
19%
Callum Turner
18%
24 outcomes$1.4M vol
Culture-1 pt
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Gavin Newsom
13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Mark Kelly
12%
24 outcomes$1.2M vol
Culture+1 pt
Weed rescheduled by...?
5%
Very unlikely$818K vol
Culture+1 pt
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027
22%
December 31, 2026
1%
2 outcomes$734K vol
Culture-1 pt
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
28%
Unlikely$456K vol
Culture-15 pts
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
28%
Unlikely$437K vol
Cultureflat
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
2%
Very unlikely$421K vol
Culture
Jynxzi, Ron, and Los beat Minecraft by...?
October 14
97%
October 15
97%
October 13
95%
8 outcomes$362K vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?
220-239
11%
260-279
10%
240-259
10%
24 outcomes$346K vol
Culture+73 pts
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
100M+
100%
<50M
0%
50-60M
0%
7 outcomes$346K vol
Culture+36 pts
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+
62%
960-999
5%
800-839
3%
24 outcomes$299K vol
Culture-1 pt
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
Lana Del Rey
46%
Justin Bieber
40%
Taylor Swift
38%
17 outcomes$256K vol
Culture-2 pts
Billboard #1 Artist 2026
Morgan Wallen
80%
Taylor Swift
5%
The Weeknd
1%
16 outcomes$251K vol
Culture+12 pts
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
57%
Avengers: Doomsday
43%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
0%
4 outcomes$215K vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?
115-139
22%
140-164
21%
90-114
16%
9 outcomes$212K vol
Culture+2 pts
GTA VI released by...?
November 30
95%
October 31
0%
2 outcomes$202K vol
Culture+7 pts
Top Spotify Song 2026
End of Beginning – Djo
84%
Babydoll – Dominic Fike
11%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj
1%
14 outcomes$197K vol
Culture+23 pts
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
Letitia James
31%
Hillary Clinton
12%
Zohran Mamdani
4%
4 outcomes$184K vol
Culture — frequently asked
What is the most likely culture outcome right now?
The most actively traded culture question is “Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?”, currently at 1% on the market.
How often do culture odds update?
WillThisHappen refreshes probabilities from the underlying prediction market roughly every 15 minutes, and shows the 7-day change so you can see which way sentiment is moving.
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