🎬
Topic
Culture & Awards
Awards, box office, releases and the cultural moments the crowd is forecasting.
26 live questions · odds as of Aug 21, 2026
Culture
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2%
Very unlikely$65.1M vol
Culture-1 pt
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
March 31, 2027
7%
December 31, 2026
4%
2 outcomes$30.9M vol
Culture+43 pts
Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
240-259
52%
260-279
44%
280-299
4%
14 outcomes$5.2M vol
Culture+1 pt
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
Other (Season Cancelled)
76%
Doug Mason
19%
Michael Baba
1%
23 outcomes$2.5M vol
Culture-4 pts
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
67%
Avengers: Doomsday
35%
Dune: Messiah
0%
4 outcomes$2.1M vol
Culture
Taylor Swift pregnant by...?
September 30, 2026
51%
December 31, 2026
11%
2 outcomes$2.0M vol
Culture+15 pts
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny
90%
Drake
5%
Taylor Swift
4%
10 outcomes$1.5M vol
Culture+7 pts
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m
67%
900m+
34%
<400m
0%
7 outcomes$1.5M vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
280-299
18%
300-319
17%
320-339
14%
17 outcomes$1.5M vol
Culture+16 pts
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Jon Stewart
20%
Gavin Newsom
13%
Kamala Harris
11%
24 outcomes$1.1M vol
Cultureflat
Weed rescheduled by...?
December 31
27%
September 30
21%
2 outcomes$796K vol
Cultureflat
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
2%
Very unlikely$378K vol
Culture+4 pts
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
44%
Leaning no$300K vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
200-219
14%
180-199
13%
220-239
13%
24 outcomes$295K vol
Culture+2 pts
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
<900m
67%
900 - 920m
32%
920 - 940m
1%
11 outcomes$295K vol
Culture+52 pts
"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
550 - 570m
74%
570m+
24%
530 - 550m
2%
6 outcomes$274K vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets August 20 - August 22, 2026?
65-89
46%
40-64
25%
90-114
18%
10 outcomes$263K vol
Culture+8 pts
Elon Musk # tweets in August 2026?
840-879
19%
880-919
18%
1000+
17%
17 outcomes$251K vol
Culture-1 pt
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
Jay Z
60%
Lana Del Rey
56%
Travis Scott
54%
17 outcomes$220K vol
Culture+7 pts
Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen
26%
Jack Lowden
23%
Callum Turner
16%
17 outcomes$214K vol
Culture+7 pts
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 21
96%
August 22
92%
August 26
92%
11 outcomes$198K vol
Culture-11 pts
Another GTA VI trailer released by...?
31%
Unlikely$193K vol
Culture-2 pts
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
AS
54%
SV
21%
LPV
20%
9 outcomes$190K vol
Culture+5 pts
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Mariah Carey
72%
Peso Pluma
51%
Kendrick Lamar
33%
23 outcomes$165K vol
Culture+43 pts
Billboard #1 Artist 2026
Morgan Wallen
83%
Post Malone
3%
SZA
3%
16 outcomes$164K vol
Culture-5 pts
Which artists will release a new song in 2026?
JAY-Z
83%
Nicki Minaj
80%
Frank Ocean
33%
3 outcomes$129K vol
Culture — frequently asked
What is the most likely culture outcome right now?
The most actively traded culture question is “Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?”, currently at 2% on the market.
How often do culture odds update?
WillThisHappen refreshes probabilities from the underlying prediction market roughly every 15 minutes, and shows the 7-day change so you can see which way sentiment is moving.
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