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Topic
Culture & Awards
Awards, box office, releases and the cultural moments the crowd is forecasting.
26 live questions · odds as of Oct 5, 2026
Cultureflat
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1%
Very unlikely$66.3M vol
Culture
New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
March 31, 2027
6%
December 31, 2026
2%
2 outcomes$30.9M vol
Culture+1 pt
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
Other (Season Cancelled)
93%
Doug Mason
1%
Michael Baba
1%
23 outcomes$2.5M vol
Culture+9 pts
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
64%
Avengers: Doomsday
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
0%
4 outcomes$2.3M vol
Culture-3 pts
Taylor Swift pregnant by...?
10%
Very unlikely$2.1M vol
Culture+4 pts
Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny
86%
Taylor Swift
8%
Drake
4%
10 outcomes$1.7M vol
Culture-10 pts
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden
39%
No Bond chosen
26%
Callum Turner
17%
24 outcomes$1.3M vol
Culture+25 pts
Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
220-239
40%
240-259
40%
260-279
10%
17 outcomes$1.3M vol
Culture+6 pts
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Ron DeSantis
14%
Gavin Newsom
14%
Raphael Warnock
10%
24 outcomes$1.2M vol
Culture-6 pts
Weed rescheduled by...?
5%
Very unlikely$818K vol
Culture-1 pt
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027
21%
December 31, 2026
3%
2 outcomes$718K vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
200-219
28%
220-239
25%
240-259
17%
23 outcomes$534K vol
Culture-1 pt
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
28%
Unlikely$456K vol
Culture
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
2%
Very unlikely$421K vol
Culture
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
30%
Unlikely$413K vol
Culture
Elon Musk # tweets October 3 - October 5, 2026?
65-89
60%
40-64
42%
90-114
2%
9 outcomes$374K vol
Culture
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
100M+
100%
90-100M
0%
<50M
0%
7 outcomes$286K vol
Culture+12 pts
Billboard #1 Artist 2026
Morgan Wallen
80%
Taylor Swift
4%
Post Malone
2%
16 outcomes$250K vol
Culture-6 pts
Which artists will release new albums in 2026?
Lil Uzi Vert
56%
Lana Del Rey
51%
Justin Bieber
45%
17 outcomes$250K vol
Culture-4 pts
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+
27%
880-919
14%
920-959
14%
24 outcomes$223K vol
Culture-1 pt
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday
54%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
47%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
0%
4 outcomes$211K vol
Culture+1 pt
GTA VI released by...?
November 30
95%
October 31
1%
2 outcomes$193K vol
Culture-1 pt
Top Spotify Song 2026
End of Beginning – Djo
76%
Babydoll – Dominic Fike
14%
Swim – BTS
2%
14 outcomes$191K vol
Culture+16 pts
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
Marjorie Taylor Greene
27%
Letitia James
25%
Elizabeth Warren
23%
8 outcomes$183K vol
Culture-3 pts
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Mariah Carey
96%
Morgan Wallen
27%
Kendrick Lamar
22%
23 outcomes$181K vol
Culture+1 pt
Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine
95%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool
92%
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man
90%
20 outcomes$166K vol
Culture — frequently asked
What is the most likely culture outcome right now?
The most actively traded culture question is “Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?”, currently at 1% on the market.
How often do culture odds update?
WillThisHappen refreshes probabilities from the underlying prediction market roughly every 15 minutes, and shows the 7-day change so you can see which way sentiment is moving.
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