Weed rescheduled by...?
5%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 5% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027Source of truth: https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling