Taylor Swift pregnant by...?
10%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 10% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027