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Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

5 outcomes · ranked

$136K traded
Avengers: Doomsday
56%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
45%
Toy Story 5
0%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
0%
Dune: Messiah
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
70%Avengers: Doomsday · -13 pts over period56%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is Avengers: Doomsday at 56%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week …

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027

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