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Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Very unlikely

+1 pt$595K traded

Probability over time

last 30 days
7%Yes · -2 pts over period4%

What this means

Traders currently price this at 4% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at: https://defillama.com/stablecoins A data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027

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