What price will Lighter hit in 2026?
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is ↑ $3 at 85%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
What price will Lighter hit before 2027?
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027
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What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 80,000
81%
↑ 85,000
63%
↑ 90,000
47%
24 outcomes$56.4M vol
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When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
by December 31, 2027
64%
by September 30, 2027
36%
by June 30, 2027
14%
5 outcomes$27.2M vol
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What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
↑ 80,000
60%
↑ 82,500
35%
↓ 70,000
23%
17 outcomes$14.5M vol