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Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

Very unlikely

-2 pts$544K traded

Probability over time

last 30 days
9%Yes · -4 pts over period5%

What this means

Traders currently price this at 5% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -2 pts.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027Source of truth: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

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