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Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$141K traded
200-219
14%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
180-199
12%
260-279
11%
160-179
10%
140-159
7%
280-299
7%
300-319
4%
320-339
3%
120-139
2%
340-359
2%

Probability over time

last 30 days
11%200-219 · +3 pts over period14%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is 200-219 at 14%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary res…

Resolves: Sep 1, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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