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Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$190K traded
160-179
20%
180-199
19%
140-159
13%
200-219
13%
220-239
10%
120-139
7%
240-259
7%
260-279
5%
100-119
4%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
16%160-179 · +4 pts over period20%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is 160-179 at 20%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolutio…

Resolves: Jul 28, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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