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Elon Musk # tweets July 23 - July 25, 2026?

10 outcomes · ranked

$173K traded
65-89
48%
40-64
30%
90-114
19%
115-139
3%
<40
2%
140-164
1%
165-189
0%
190-214
0%
215-239
0%
240+
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
23%65-89 · +25 pts over period48%

What this means

Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is 65-89 at 48%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 23 12:00 PM ET to July 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolutio…

Resolves: Jul 25, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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