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Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$137K traded
180-199
17%
120-139
16%
140-159
16%
160-179
16%
200-219
11%
100-119
9%
220-239
6%
240-259
4%
260-279
3%
80-99
2%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
19%180-199 · -2 pts over period17%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is 180-199 at 17%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 24 12:00 PM ET to July 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolutio…

Resolves: Jul 31, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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