Skip to content
CultureCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets July 31 - August 7, 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$210K traded
200-219
16%
220-239
14%
240-259
12%
180-199
12%
160-179
9%
260-279
9%
140-159
8%
280-299
6%
120-139
4%
300-319
3%
100-119
2%
320-339
2%

Probability over time

last 30 days
18%200-219 · -2 pts over period16%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is 200-219 at 16%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resoluti…

Resolves: Aug 7, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

More in Culture